Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.337658 0.391736 0.448728 0.512990 0.583157 0.657182 0.740914
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.264356 0.338649 0.421876 0.520918 0.634478 0.759583 0.906790
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.201819 0.286000 0.386162 0.511509 0.661616 0.833207 1.041770
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.166205 0.258745 0.375000 0.526905 0.715439 0.937366 1.213934
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.129750 0.223912 0.349228 0.520281 0.740102 1.006115 1.345329
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.111916 0.210929 0.349155 0.544483 0.802289 1.120778 1.533789
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.090667 0.189052 0.333898 0.546289 0.834468 1.197986 1.677318
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073731 0.170484 0.320622 0.548627 0.865955 1.273832 1.819645
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.062567 0.159178 0.316320 0.562269 0.911933 1.368358 1.986469
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.054242 0.151161 0.315811 0.580549 0.963974 1.471135 2.164935
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047057 0.143773 0.315229 0.598042 1.014766 1.572682 2.342936
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.037779 0.130003 0.302432 0.595741 1.036799 1.635646 2.471140
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.031214 0.120661 0.296479 0.604014 1.074853 1.722011 2.633120
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.023907 0.107352 0.281811 0.597219 1.090264 1.777458 2.754857
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016816 0.091699 0.260532 0.577776 1.085545 1.804358 2.838295
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013734 0.086119 0.257918 0.588953 1.126817 1.895692 3.009373
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009719 0.075449 0.243426 0.578550 1.134236 1.938981 3.115407
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008495 0.074155 0.248525 0.602518 1.195385 2.059414 3.328127
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006283 0.067528 0.240989 0.603249 1.219723 2.127174 3.468975
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.004583 0.061717 0.234387 0.605027 1.245397 2.196899 3.613008
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.003639 0.058937 0.234530 0.619153 1.291023 2.296069 3.798812
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.003001 0.057369 0.237397 0.638380 1.345126 2.408109 4.003417
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002439 0.055741 0.239883 0.656855 1.398239 2.519223 4.207645